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Kathmandu,Thursday March 30, 2000  Chaitra 17, 2056.


Pressure on domestic oil price recedes

By a Post Reporter

KATHMANDU March 29 - Pressure on domestic oil prices has receded after the decision by OPEC, the international cartel of 11 oil producing countries, to increase the oil production by 1.7 million barrel per day at the end of a two-day long annual meeting in Vienna, Austria.

Amid heated debate and opposition from the small oil-producing members like Iran, Algeria and Libya, OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) decided to restore the previous level of oil production.

With the OPEC decision, the world will now pump out 76.7 million barrel of oil per day- still three hundred thousand barrel short of world daily consumption level.

Consequently, the international price of oil has started to scale back. Based on today’s international price of the refined oil, the new per metric ton price for diesel and kerosene at Haldia Port (where international supplier hands-over oil to Nepal Oil Corporation) would be US $ 248.19 and US $ 242.13 respectively. This price level is significantly lower than the last price offered by international oil suppliers to NOC.

Vitol Geneva, a Swiss Oil supplier, which won the competitive bidding, to supply oil during the last bid on March 15, offered US $ 277.25 for per ton of kerosene and US $ 277 for per ton of diesel.

The second top bidder, Glencore Singapore, offered US $ 292.99 per ton for diesel and US $ 292.28 per ton for kerosene.

Since the International price has declined significantly and is expected to plunge further as the Northern Hemisphere’s winter ends (some estimates put the tag at 2.7 million barrel per day), the threat of domestic price rise seems averted. Yuba Raj Sharma, Managing Director of NOC also says, "Now there is no chance of petroleum price to rise, at least until the end of the current fiscal year ending mid-July."

Until last week, the danger of domestic petroleum price rise looked imminent, for the second time within a period of six months when India raised the price of petroleum products providing a "natural excuse" for NOC to raise the price.

International petroleum price has seen an unexpected swing from bust to bump in the last one year. Crude oil prices sank to US $ 10 per barrel in early March last year, hitting roughly what it used to cost before the First Oil Shock of 1973. Contrary to the much-hyped international media threat of "drowning in cheap oil," crude oil price soared up again hitting as high as US $ 34 per barrel last week, reaching its highest level since the Gulf War in 1991. Such a rise in the international price of petroleum invited severe criticism especially from the United States, the largest oil consumer. OPEC’s current decision is also mainly a yield to the mounting international pressure.


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