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 Kathmandu Friday November 02, 2001 Kartik  17,  2058.


Trade deficit narrows; export, import dip

Post Report

KATHMANDU, Nov 1 - During the first two months of the fiscal year 2001/02, government expenditure registered a slower growth of 9.7 per cent amounting to Rs 6253.5 million in contrast to an increase of 26 per cent during the first two months of the previous fiscal year.

Of the total government expenditure, regular expense declined by 4.3 per cent to Rs 3662.4 million and development expense by 11 per cent to Rs 76.9 million and freeze expenditure by 80.1 per cent to Rs 1829.2 during the period, according to a press communiqué released by the Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) today.

Despite a decline in both regular and development expenditure, the total government expenditure increased mainly due to a sharp rise in the freeze expenditure. In the previous year, Dashain expenses provided to the government employees during this period had pushed the regular expenditure up whereas such expense not being disbursed during the review period this fiscal year led to the decline of the regular expense compared to the previous year.

Late release of development expenditure due to delay in budget approval contributed to the decline in development expense during the review period.

Similarly, revenue collection also decreased by 1.1 per cent to Rs 6156.8 million in contrast to a growth of 26.9 per cent during the same period last year. But due to low mobilisation of resources, a budget deficit of Rs 12 million was incurred during the first month of the current fiscal year.

The national Urban Consumer Price Index, on point to point basis, increased by 4 per cent during the period in contrast to an increment of 1 per cent during the corresponding period last year. According to the release, of the over all price index, price of food and beverages rose by 4.3 per cent compared to a decline of 4.4 per cent the previous year.

However, the price of non-food and services group went up by 4.7 per cent during the first two months of the fiscal year 2001/02 as against the growth of 8.2 per cent in the same months the previous fiscal year, states the release.

During the review period, exports registered a decline of 5.1 per cent to Rs 8558 million compared to a growth of 38 per cent during the corresponding period of the previous financial year.

The growth of exports to India decelerated to 24.9 per cent from 73.6 per cent in the same period previous year whereas the exports to third countries plunged by 29.1 per cent as against a growth of 18.2 per cent during the first two months of the last fiscal year.

However, the export of jewellery, woollen carpet and tanned skin to third countries increased, but the export of pulses, pashmina and ready-made garments and woollen carpet and tanned skin plunged significantly during the review period.

During the first two months of the current fiscal year, imports dipped by 5 per cent to Rs 16690.7 million as against a growth of 6.6 per cent during the same period last fiscal year.

The import of cement, electrical equipment, medicine, chemical fertilisers, petroleum products, M S billet, M S wire, rod, and pesticides from India and petroleum products betel nut, medical equipment, electrical equipment, telecom equipment, medicine, polythene granules, copper wire and sheet, paper and silver from the third countries went up in comparison to that of the previous year.

In spite of a decline in both export and import by a similar rate, trade deficit narrowed down by 4.8 per cent to Rs 8132.7 million owing to the larger base of imports than that of exports. In the previous year, trade deficit had gone down by 14.1 per cent. The export/import ratio which was 51.4 per cent in the previous fiscal year, remained similar at 51.3 per cent during the first two months of the current fiscal year, states the release.

Based on the available balance of payments statistics for the preceding year 2000/2001, the balance of payments remained favourable by Rs 5762.8 million. In the first two months of this fiscal year, in spite of decline in net services income, current account deficit plunged by 20.2 per cent to Rs 7154.9 due mainly to decrease in trade deficit and increase in current transfer receipts compared to the corresponding period of the previous year.

However, a substantial inflow of official capital net and miscellaneous capital helped to make the balance of payments positive. The overall balance of payments recorded a surplus of Rs 373.8 million. Subsequently, foreign exchange holdings of the banking system increased by 8.4 per cent to Rs 105185.6 million in mid-September 2001. Of the total reserve, 76.1 per cent was accounted for by convertible currencies and the rest by non-convertible currency.

Market capitalisation of the companies listed in the stock exchange decreased to Rs 37.05 billion in mid-September 2001 from Rs 43.96 billion in the previous month. Similarly, Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) share price index decreased from 322.15 in the previous month to 265.22 in mid-September 2001.


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