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Kathmandu, Sunday April 21, 2002  Baishakh 08,  2059.

'Many countries may not reach 2015 poverty goals'

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KATHMANDU, April 20:Despite progress in recent years, both poor and rich countries need to do much more if the international community is to meet its commitment of halving global poverty in all the world’s regions by 2015, says a new World Bank report, World Development Indicators 2002.

According to a press release issued here today by the World Bank from Washington, the brisk economic growth in china and India will enable the world to reach the overall goal of reducing global poverty. "But the data in the new study–which covers all eight of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) – say progress is uneven and that too many regions and countries are falling far short of the goals," states the release.

Still, more advances are possible if poor countries improve policies and governance and rich countries expand trade access and increase foreign aid. Policies in developing countries have been improving during the last 15 or 20 years. Rich countries have eased barriers to poor country exports during the last decade but obstacles remain high, particularly in agriculture and textiles, states the World Bank release.

"The past decade has been a good one for opening up markets to goods from poor countries and a bad one for increasing foreign aid flows," said the release quoting Nicholas Stern, the World Bank’s Chief Economist and Senior Vice-President for Development Economics. "Monterrey showed that we have begun to turn the corner on aid. But in the decade ahead, we must push vigorously on trade. We know development can work, yet 1.2 billion people still live on less than $1 a day. The challenge of meeting the Millennium Development Goals reminds us all that we can and must do better."

The MDGs aim to reduce income poverty by 2015 and spur significant improvements in education, gender equality, health care, and in overcoming hunger and environmental degradation. The new study shows that for the poorest countries, many of the goals are far out of reach while even in better-off countries there may be regions or other sub-groups that lag far behind.

The most-quoted goal calls for reducing the proportion of people living on less than $1 a day to half the 1990 level by 2015, from one in every third person in the developing world to one in every six. The new Bank report shows that reaching that goal is possible in most developing regions if growth in per capita income accelerates to an average of 3.6 percent per year. That growth would be nearly twice the rate achieved over the last decade, but the experience of some countries shows that it is possible. China averaged almost 9 percent annual growth in GDP per capita in the 1980s and 1990s. And in India, faster growth in the last decade helped to reduce substantially the proportion of people living in poverty.

Each goal is important by itself, but they should also be viewed together–they are mutually reinforcing. Better basic health care and nutrition increases learning and productivity. And better education, especially for women, leads to better health outcomes. The living of many poor people is damaged by environmental degradation. Reducing poverty gives people more resources to pursue better education and health care and a cleaner environment, says the release.

This year’s World Development Indicators marks the 25th edition. The reports are based on information from national statistics agencies. Shaida Badiee, Director of the Bank’s Development Data Group called on nations to improve their data reporting so they and the international community are well informed of the challenges and successes of development and can respond.

The new report shows that prospects of reaching the Millennium Development Goals vary by region. Fast-growing East Asia could reach the poverty goals, with the number of people living in extreme poverty expected to drop by almost 80 percent. Sub-Saharan Africa, meanwhile, remains the biggest concern, states the release.

According to the release, South Asia has experienced rapid growth, averaging 5.9 percent a year since 1990, which has helped to reduce poverty substantially. Strong growth in India helped to raise the regional average growth rate in the 1990s; Bangladesh and Sri Lanka also experienced good growth. The ability of the region, especially India, to sustain average growth of 5-6 percent a year will be critical to achieving the poverty reduction targets for 2015. The region has made gains in reducing mortality in children under five since 1990, especially in Bangladesh. At the same time, little progress has been made in reducing malnutrition; today, nearly half of all children under the age of five are malnourished. The resurgence of tuberculosis and the threat of HIV/AIDS are also a cause for concern, says the release.


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