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  Kathmandu Thursday February 28, 2002 Falgun 16,  2058.


Gold price surges to touch 3-yr high

Post Report

KATHMANDU, Feb 27 : Spurred on by the soaring international gold price and continued tumbling of the Nepali rupee against the greenback, the price of gold in the domestic market has climbed once again to touch the highest mark in the last three years.

The domestic gold price, which was stable at Rs 7,715 per ten gram for a week surged to Rs 7,725 Tuesday and again climbed by Rs 80 Wednesday to touch Rs 7,800 per ten gram.

The international gold price, which had been soaring slightly since last couple of days recorded another unprecedented jump Wednesday to touch almost US$ 298 per troy ounce (1 troy ounce=31.103 gm) from around US$ 292 Tuesday, recording an overnight surge of US$ 6 per troy ounce.

During the last upheavals in the international gold market witnessed some two weeks ago, the gold price had touched US$ 306.65 per troy ounce hitting a two-year high mark.

Similarly, the continuing depreciation of the domestic currency against the American dollar is another major reason behind the price surge. The Nepali currency has depreciated by 1.3 percent in 2002 against the US currency. Since Nepal imports all yellow metal by paying in convertible currency, any slide in the value of the Nepali currency directly cause gold price to rise.

Gold traders say that the continued poor performance of the stock market around the globe is one of the main reasons behind the continued high demand of gold. Investors, shocked by the sudden crash of the energy giant Enron, which led to a huge financial loss, are yet to regain their confidence in the stock market. And, the investors are still financing on gold as the best and reliable alternative investment sector.

Similarly, poor performance by the Japanese economy added fuel of fire in the erosion of investors’ confidence. Though, some silver lining has emerged on the possible revival of the world’s second largest economy, it is still far below the level to influence speculative investors’ confidence. Gold traders opine the gold price might climb further since quick revival of the rival assets such as stocks and hard currencies in the global market seems remote.

However, the impact of the gold price hike on the domestic gold market this time has been different from the past trend, thanks to the ongoing marriage seasons, during which, gold demand surge.

"The overall demand of gold in recent days has increased as compared to the demand of the past months mainly due to the marriage seasons," says Tej Ratna Shakya, President of Nepal Gold-Silver Dealers Association.

However, he was quick to say that the current high demand will be short-lived since the season will end soon. "The actual market condition would be visible only then," he added.

During the similar hike witnessed some two weeks ago, the average consumption had declined to remain at less than half the normal demand. According to the concerned entrepreneurs, the average normal national demand of gold in Nepal stands at 30 kg per day.

Along with the soaring gold price, gold traders are facing another headache. The sale of old gold stock and ornaments has skyrocketed in the past few days. Along with soaring demand of fresh gold, people’s turnout to sell their old gold stock and ornaments has increased massively, says Tej Shakya. "The transaction of old gold currently stands at around 35 per cent of the total gold transaction," Shakya adds.


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