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Kathmandu, Wednesday May 01, 2002  Baishakh 18,  2059.

Gold price stable at higher mark

Post Report

KATHMANDU, April 30:The bullion price in the domestic market continued to maintain at the higher mark of last five years thanks to the continued rising international gold price propped up mainly by weak dollar and pessimistic performance of the global stock market.

The domestic gold price, which scaled up to touch Rs 8,230 per ten gram, has been stable at the price since Monday. The gold price was stable at Rs 8,060 per ten gram during entire last week. The highest gold price observed during last five year’s time, was Rs 7,970 per ten gram in November 1996. An all time high price of gold in the domestic market was witnessed on 8 February 1996, when the market touched Rs 9,040 per ten gram.

The international gold price, which had been soaring slightly since last couple of days, recorded another unprecedented jump of more than US $ 2 on Monday and touched US $ 309.70 per troy ounce. However, the international price on Tuesday slightly declined to US $ 309.7 on Tuesday. An increase of a dollar in gold price in the international market leads to increase of about Rs 20 in a ten-gram on the domestic market.

Gold traders say that along with the poor performance of the global stock market and poor performance of the Japanese economy, world’s second largest economy after the American economy, the escalating Middle East problem is another factor for demand led price surge around the world. As a result the investors are still financing in the gold as the best and reliable alternative investment sector. However, experts opine that since strong indication of the revival of the American economy is coming, the weak dollar might be strengthen in coming days that would push down the gold price.

However, unlike the past trend, the price hike effect of gold in the domestic market has not been as adverse as used to be in the past. In the past such hike used to result in a decline in the overall demand by around 50 per cent. Despite the record-high price, the upcoming marriage seasons has largely helped to keep the demand at the higher side. "Though the overall demand is still at the low ebb, the seasonal demand has prevented the market from a crash landing," says Tej Ratna Shakya, President of Nepal Gold-Silver Dealers Association. According to the Association, the normal national demand of gold is 30 kilogram per day.

Shakya stresses that with the end of marriage season the actual market condition would be visible. During similar previous price hikes before the beginning of the marriage season last month, the average daily demand of gold had plunged to less than half the normal demand.

Along with the soaring gold price, gold traders continued to face problems as the sales of old gold stock and ornament have skyrocketed in recent months. However, gold entrepreneurs say such a trend has been slightly declined in last two days. "People have stoppe.

d selling old gold stock in the expectation that the price would further shoot up in coming days and some of the speculators have even started purchasing fresh gold in the expectation of capital gain," Shakya reckons.


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