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Kathmandu, Thursday January 23, 2003  Magh 09,  2059.

Gold price surges to all time high

By Milan Mani Sharma

KATHMANDU, Jan 22 The price of gold went up to an all time high in the Nepali bullion market with the price touching Rs 9,090 per 10 grams today. The rise in the price solely fueled by international factors, however, did not stir the market, as the public rush for resale of old stock was far less than the expectation of the gold dealers.

On Wednesday, the price of the yellow metal increased by Rs 55 compared to Tuesday’s price of Rs 9,035 per 10 grams. The new record price is higher by Rs 45 per 10 grams compared to the previous highest price of the metal in the domestic market.

The previous highest price in the country was Rs 9,045 per 10 grams in February 1995. While increased international price and domestic demand was the reason behind the 1995 price rise, this time it is the international market alone.

Nepal Gold Silver Dealers Association (NGSDA), which sets the market price of bullion in the country, considers domestic demand and supply of gold along with the international demand and pricing while setting bullion price.

"The overnight increment of the international price, following the Bush administration convincing the market that war with Iraq was almost inevitable, triggered the price rise in the domestic market," said Tej Ratna Shakya, President of the NGSDA.

The latest price hike, however, was not unexpected, as the domestic price of the metal had been rising since December 2002. In December alone, the price had increased by Rs 445 to touch Rs 8,800 per 10 grams.

While the price went up to Rs 8,825 on January 4 and Rs 8,925 on January 7, it further went up to Rs 8,945 per 10 grams on Thursday, Rs 8,985 on Friday and Rs 9,035 on Sunday.

"As usual, the rise in domestic price was subsequent to the increasing drift in the international price," said Shakya. He stated that following the rise in prices, the consumption of gold has slid to 15 kg per day - a decline of about 50 per cent compared to a normal daily consumption of 30 kg.

Even the much-expected increase in recycling of old gold, given the price hike, was found wanting on Wednesday, informed capital-based gold entrepreneurs. "The business today was as stagnated as any other day and there were very few customers willing to resell their stock," they stated.

Even as few gold dealers informed of returning the aspirant sellers asking them to come after a week, showing unwillingness to buy gold from them at higher price in insecure market position, most of the customers are waiting for the right time speculating of further rise in price, stated Shakya.

"With the chances of reverting the war narrowing down, the price of gold is likely to soar further in both international and domestic market," he added.

The international price of the precious metal had gone up around 13 per cent since the start of December and almost 40 per cent up in the past two years, according to reports.

In London, gold price opened at US$ 358.25 a troy ounce on Wednesday, up from US$ 355.70 late Tuesday. On Monday, it was US$ 355.80, while on Friday it surged to US$ 357.10 - US$ 4 higher than the previous week.

Concern over the threat of war in Iraq was the main reason behind the sudden rise in prices. Also, fall in the value of dollar against other leading currencies too fueled such rally.

On Tuesday, dollar slid against most key rivals, hitting 39-month low against the Euro. A decline in the value of dollar against other currencies makes gold more attractive to international investors because the metal is priced in dollars in the world market.


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