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Kathmandu, Thursday June 19, 2003  Ashadh 05,  2060.

WB-led team completes trade study on Nepal

By Bhaskar Sharma

KATHMANDU, June 18 : A World Bank-led Diagnostic Trade Integration Study (DTIS) assessing the competitiveness of the Nepali economy in foreign trade has been completed recently. A draft of the final report, which is yet to be made public, has been submitted to the government.

A steering committee that had been formed for the purpose of the study is presently evaluating the report. "The report will be made public early next week," said a source at the Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Supplies talking to The Kathmandu Post today.

The source said that the study has made broad-based policy recommendations and has prepared a road map for future trade reforms. "The recommendations would help Nepal prepare a ‘Plan of Action’ for future reforms," said the source.

However, he added that the steering committee will make further suggestions to the study team for further refinement of the report. "If the committee recommends that some critical elements are missing in the report, it will direct the team to make the additions," the source said.

The eight-month long study probed Nepal’s requirements in terms of achieving an accelerated trade-led growth. A team of local and international experts, led by Ross Chapman, an Australian involved with the Centre for International Economics, Sydney, had carried out the study.

More simply called the trade competitiveness study, the DTIS was initiated last October as a pilot project under the Integrated Framework (IF), a concept that came in 1996 with an aim to assist Least Developed Countries (LDCs) in developing a trade integration strategy.

Once the report is finalised, Nepal’s country profile will be prepared under the IF, following which the implementation of IF will begin to foster sustainable pro-poor growth by embedding trade policies and priorities into the national development strategies.

The source said that the study appraised Nepal’s constraints to effective integration into the global trading system. "It has made policy level recommendations to capacity building," the source said without specifying details.

He added that the diagnostic study has reviewed and analysed the country’s economic and export performance from a historical and international perspective, with particular attention to indicators of per capita income, trade and integration performance vis-à-vis those of other countries.

Likewise, it has appraised the macroeconomic environment and the country’s investment climate with emphasis on customs administration, access to (and cost of) pre-shipment finance and working capital, barriers to investment, and the behaviour of the real exchange rates.

Furthermore, the source added that the study has also taken into consideration the international policy environment and specific constraints that the country’s export face in international markets. It has also analysed the key labour-intensive sectors for expansion of output, export and employment, together with identification of internal constraints in the expansion.

Government officials, who are part of the steering committee, however, were critical of the study, stating that the study has in general failed to make product-specific recommendations, which is more important.

"The study is like any other study that has been carried out time and again by the government as well as international agencies," the source said. "Specific product line recommendations were needed, which is lacking," the source said.

Concerned experts are banking a lot on the DTIS for the much-needed technical and financial assistance for Nepal’s integration into the global trade regime, which requires countries to be bound by various multilateral agreements.

While the need for technical assistance arises due to lack of technical expertise in the country over WTO-related matters, financial assistance is largely needed to ensure compatibility of the country’s legislative framework to the global trade regime.

A study carried out by the WB has shown that it costs US$ 130 million (NRs 10 billion – over ten percent of estimated budget for fiscal year 2002/03) to implement just three of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) agreements, namely TRIPS, SPS and Customs Valuation.

Officials are upbeat that the study, whose completion closely follows the heels of the fourth round of bilateral negotiations for Nepal’s WTO accession, would explain the concerns that Nepal had shown during the negotiations. Nepal had then raised ‘technical assistance’ as a major agenda before its formal WTO entry.


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