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Kathmandu, Wednesday September 10, 2003  Bhadra 24,  2060.

September 11: Two years later

M R JOSSE

Tomorrow will mark the second anniversary of 9/11 – code for the most lethal terrorist attack that the world has ever known.

That occurred on September 11, 2001. First, two hijacked airliners were crashed by Al Qaeda terrorists into the World Trade Center in New York City. A third airliner was rammed into the Pentagon in Washington, D.C.

A fourth, possibly bound for another high profile target in the American capital, crashed in Somerset County, Pennsylvania, apparently after passengers attempted to overpower the hijackers.

That’s the bare-bones chronology. But, what has happened since then? The short answer is plenty, as this column will attempt to demonstrate.

First, as Professor Robert J Lieber makes out, "September 11 marked the start of a new era in American strategic thinking." In his view, it had an impact comparable to the Pearl Harbour attack on December 7, 1941 that propelled the United States into World War II.

It resulted, among other things, in the enunciation of the "Bush Doctrine" focussing on the global threat to America from terrorism and weapons of mass destruction.

Another well-known by-product is the United States’ adoption of the doctrine of "pre-emptive" or even "preventive" war and the related concepts of "regime change" and nation or state building, the visible manifestations of which are now on public display both in Afghanistan as well as in Iraq.

At another level, as Lieber rightly argued last year, "the post-Cold War era, which began with the collapse of the Soviet Union almost 12 years ago, ended abruptly on the sunny, clear morning of September 11, 2001."

Even more significantly, "in an instant, coordinated terrorist attacks transformed the international security environment and dictated a new ‘grand strategy’ for the United States."

Public attention to the new era in US strategic thinking naturally came in tandem with a new, urgent focus on the economic cost of terrorism.

Yet, Brian S Wesbury, a prominent economist of a Chicago-based investment firm, stated in an article on the first anniversary of 9/11, the Al Qaeda assault on the institutions of capitalist democracy has failed. In his opinion, US institutions and its economy have largely recovered from the attacks.

(To that, of course, must now be computed the yet-to-be-determined but spiraling cost of the US-led war in Iraq that is far from over, despite it officially being considered as concluded.)

Wesbury maintains that while the US economy was scraped and bruised on that terrible day, even a year later the US economy had proven to be highly resilient, despite an estimated "$ 120 billion of damage and a great deal of anxiety."

On another but related level, 9/11 has led to the US re-energising itself to reducing poverty and deprivation in the rest of the world. That is premised on the belief that poverty provides a breeding ground for disease and deprivation, and potentially for crime, corruption, and terrorism.

(At this juncture, it may be noted that in Nepal, too, we have seen two very visible manifestations of 9/11’s impact. One is the readiness of the United States to provide security assistance in combating the Maoist insurgency. The other is reflected in increased US economic assistance to the government in tackling that insurgency’s socio-economic roots.)

CRITICAL BALANCE

Yet another important area of public policy where 9/11 has had a huge effect is in maintaining what Professor Mark Blitz termed as "the critical balance" between "individual rights and national security in uncertain times".

As Blitz has reminded us, "among the many effects of the terrorist attacks" of 9/11 has been a vigorous debate about certain civil liberties.

Not unnaturally, the US government’s efforts to prevent another round of terrorist attacks in the American homeland have raised "a welter of complex constitutional issues that are being decided by US courts and debated by legal scholars."

Two years down the road, those issues are still being debated and discussed in America. In the meantime, a great deal of high decibel criticism has been heard from Muslims and Arabs, in particular, about how they are being unfairly discriminated against in/by what is supposed to be the world’s greatest democracy.

(Incidentally, one might now mull over the fact that we in Nepal, too, are in the process of determining our own "critical balance" between the need to provide public security for all without overturning basic democratic rights of peaceful dissent and protest.)

AN AMERICAN IMPERIUM?

Mention has already been made of Afghanistan and Iraq as by-products of 9/11. However, some see in them evidence of a new American imperium. That, as the Economist has cogently argued in a recent issue on "America and empire", is not however borne out by facts on the ground.

Admitting that America is now going through an imperial phase, the British magazine argues that this one has more in common with its earlier imperial phases, all of which were transient, than with "the imperial eras of Britain, Byzantium or Rome."

Admitting that America has changed since September 11, the Economist says that although the new mood allows for "more assertiveness, less patience with allies, a greater readiness to go it alone", it stoutly maintains "there is no appetite to spend a lifetime in a sweaty country in the service of a noble cause."

It continues: "The memories of Vietnam, where every effort to withdraw or hand over to the locals seemed to lead to further entanglement, have not departed."

Yes, stung by events of September 11, America is "no longer shy of spilling blood, even its own." Yet, it is unlikely to continue its occupation for long in Iraq because "imperialism and democracy are at odds with each other."

Indeed, the pain of an open-ended occupation of Iraq "will not only be just a matter of budget deficits and body bags; it will also be a blow to the very heart of what makes them American – their constitutional belief in freedom.

"Freedom is in their blood; it is integral to their sense of themselves. It binds them together as nothing else does, neither ethnicity, nor religion, nor language. And it is rooted in hostility to imperialism – the imperial rule of George III. Americans know that empires lack democratic legitimacy."

Another perceptive insight into the impact of 9/11 two years after the event has been provided by columnist Swaminathan S Anklesaria Aiyer of the Times of India.

He argues that Indians have simply not understood the implications of 9/11 on America, "despite constant repetition that 9/11 has changed America so radically that all the old yardsticks no longer apply."

He then implores: "Forget the retreat from Somalia or Lebanon, when the US public did not think, even remotely, that they were at war. Even during Vietnam, the US mainland was never attacked. But the Americans regard 9/11 in the same light as Pearl Harbour: they truly believe that they have been forced into war.

"It is a new kind of war where Americans are not sure who or where exactly the enemy is, but they are determined to do all it takes to destroy the shadowy foe."

Now ponder over such thoughts on the second anniversary of 9/11!


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