Investment Scenario
Business leaders analyze why investment is not growing and
suggest what can be done to improve the situation
Investment has not been growing in the
country for a considerably long period of time. First, it was blamed on the South East
Asian troubles. Recently, the blame has been put on the security problems. But taking part
in an opinion poll with Business Age, the leaders of the countrys business community
have,by a majority of 55%, opined that rather than anything else it is policy instability
which is primarily responsible for the situation.
Ranking five causes for slow investment growth in order of
their importance, the respondents viewed that after policy instability, the next most
important reason for slow investment growth is the problem in exports. While this refers
on the one hand to the problems in export to India, it also refers to the transit problems
in exports to overseas. Security problem is ranked third, while the lack of protection
(i.e. liberal imports) is ranked fourth. This refers to the demand for anti-dumping duty
that the business community has been voicing for some time. Labour problems figure at the
bottom of the ranking, indicating that they are not so serious problems. Some respondents
also pointed out the high cost of capital (high interest rate on bank loans), small size
of the market and better opportunities available in other countries as responsible for
Nepal not experiencing healthy growth in investments.
None of the respondents ranked export problem, liberal
imports or labour problems as the most important one.
The proposal for setting up an industrial security force
seems to have the support of the majority of business leaders. About 55% of the
respondents viewed that setting up such a force would be a positive step.
For over six months, a fast track committee headed by the
Prime Minister himself is in existence to speed up decision and remove obstacles faced in
granting clearance to investment proposals. But while 60% of the respondents said that the
committee has not been working effectively, the rest said they were not able to comment on
it perhaps meaning that the committee is yet to make its presence felt. Without such a
feeling spreading across the investor community, no one is linkely to be attracted to
invest in Nepal. One respondent commented, "there is no such thing as fast track in
Nepal."
One recent development that has repulsed the foreign
investors from Nepal is the proposed review in the existing power purchase agreements
signed with some independent power developers. The respondents of the poll viewed that
such review will have a very negative effect on future investments. That is perhaps why
some respondents suggested to ensure that policies should be stable, without changing them
for at least, say, five years.
New Acts Needed
Industrial Rehabilitation Act
Bankruptcy Act
Policy Needed
Stability of laws and policies for at least five years
Promise not to revoke clauses of agreements once signed
with the private investor
Clarification of existing rules to avoid arbitrary
interpretations
Industrial exit policy
Encouragement to taxpayers
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1. What is the most
important of causes for investment not growing in Nepal?

2. Do you think that setting up of the proposed industrial
security force is going to be a positive step?

3. Do you think that the fast-track committee set up under the
Prime Minister has been working effectively?

4. How will be the effect of the proposed review in the existing
Power Purchase Agreements signed with Independent Power Developers, on the future
investment?

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