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April, 2003

Stock Taking

India’s river-linking project
Downstream Developments, Upstream Ignorance

by ENESKE

The turbulent Nepal-India relation on water resources is set to add yet another controversial chapter with the immediate southern neighbour gearing up for a mammoth river-linking project. The pipelined almost nine trillion rupees scheme has already prompted some smiles here while others are making long-faces.

First the good news. Even as Water Resources Ministry is clueless about the Indian project, at least formally, some of its high level officials are optimistic. “If they really build that project, the value of our water will go up,” said a confident highly placed official not wanting to be named.

That optimism is based on this fact: planned to be completed in 2016, this huge project of linking 37 Indian rivers heavily relies on Nepal. To channelise the river waters (flowing downstream of Nepal’s prime river-systems including Koshi, Gandaki, Karnali and Mahakali) from India’s flood-prone areas to drought-hit places, the southern neighbour will have to build huge storage facilities, water experts claim.

And the appropriate locations to build such storage facilities are in the catchment areas in Nepal, they say.

The storage facilities will have to be built in hilly region - and not in the plain lands - so that the water can be diverted to the desired destinations. “The canals India would build to link its rivers would not actually be able to divert the waters without storage facilities at place,” a noted water resources expert said.

In that case, India will certainly have to seek Kathmandu’s cooperation to tame the rivers gushing downstream from the mountainous set-up Nepal offers. So far, New Delhi has not informed Nepal, according to officials here, even as the project is already a national debate in India. “We are yet to hear about the project from the Indian government,” said Bishnu Bahadur Thapa, Spokesman at the Ministry of Water Resources. “Therefore, we are not in a position to make any comment on the issue.”

Even if they are tight-lipped for now, officials know Nepal will run certain risks if it cooperates with India in the latter’s project. The risk of river drainage blockades tops the list. “And that is where arises the question: What will Nepal get from drowning her villages to benefit Indian villages and cities?” the senior water expert said.

An unanswered question indeed. Add to that the oft-repeated issue of downstream benefits Nepal knows nothing about for now.

But Indian officials are already claiming that Nepal has been favouring the Indian biggest water resources project. Chairman of the Indian river-linking task force Suresh Prabhu, according to the Indian media, has claimed that Nepal is positive about the scheme. “We have been talking to Nepal and the reaction has been favourable,” the March 2, 2003 issue of the Indian Express quoted Prabhu as saying. A claim, Nepali officials outrightly dismiss.

In what appears to be a bad news emanating from the planned river-linking project in India, the scheme could well render blows to the hydropower plans in Nepal, hydropower experts believe.

What shapes up their fear is the aim of the project to generate 36,000 MW. The Indian government, through its tenth five year plan, aims to make electricity accessible to all Indians by. “If they (Indian government) are serious about the electricity generation, we certainly have a reason to be concerned,” a senior official with the Nepal Electricity Authority said.

Of the projected 83,000 MW hydropower potentials of Nepal, barely half of that, experts claim, is economically feasible. That means the country - that has so far around 550 MW of installed capacity - will have less than 40,000 MW of hydropower to generate from its immense water resources.

But, that exactly is the electricity the Indian river-linking project aims at generating. “In that case, what would happen to our projects we have planned aiming at the Indian market?”Yet another unanswered question as India goes all out with its biggest water project whose fate so much relies on the Himalayan river system in Nepal. When will the country have the answers to all these queries is still one more question waiting to be answered.


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