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November, 2003

Editorial

Cheap Chilime?

Any promise for cheaper electricity is a sweet music for the Nepalis who have been complaining of being forced to pay one of the highest price for electricity in the world. For that reason, the protagonists behind the 20 MW Chilime project deserve wholehearted kudos as the reports say that the generating cost of the project is a mere Rs. 2.19 per unit, and selling that to Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) at Rs. 5 per unit as per the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA). Still the Chilime company will make good profit. That means if all the power projects were like Chilime, the country's power bill would have been significantly lower than what it is today.

But, unfortunately, it is too early to be so euphoric. There are a number of questions still unanswered.

Even when we assume the quite improbable that all the chiefs of the future power projects would be as honest as Dr. Damber Nepali of Chilime project and that they would be assisted by equally independent minded and energetic seniors in the water resources ministry and/or NEA, the problems of the financing and technology would still remain there.

Hydroelectricity projects, unlike their thermal counterparts, are location specific, causing additional transmission cost both in terms of initial capital cost as well as the recurring operational cost. In the present context, they are also more vulnerable from security point of view.

And there is no standardization in the hydroelectricity power plants. Every project has to be tailored carefully to suit the specific location. Equally importantly, such a plant has to stay put where it is installed: it cannot be shifted elsewhere, unlike in case of the thermal plant.

These facts make a stronger case for thermal plants rather than hydro, and for the big projects rather than small ones. Thus the argument that hydroelectricity development in Nepal can be possible with the domestic investment alone seems to be overambitious. According to the information being made available, the major investor in Chilime are Employees' Provident Fund and Citizen Investment Trust - both controlled by the government. For a company majority held by another state controlled unit, NEA, it would not be so difficult to arrange funds from these financiers. Though the company people mention also the names of some private sector banks as the investors, their exposure to this project is very low.

More importantly, Chilime power is likely to be costlier in few years than Khimti and Bhote Koshi as the rate of annual increment in the price is higher in case of the PPA that NEA has signed with Chilime. Equally important are the reports that many costs incurred in Chilime are not accounted for in this project's books. One example is the administrative and technical support provided from NEA. Next is the cost of transmission line stretched specially for Chilime from its project site to Trishuli. Finally, it is also doubted whether the project's insurance cost and the revenue loss of two years are accounted for.

It would be better for the Chilime company to clarify those concerns before issuing shares to the general people.


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