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October, 2003

Editorial

 Role of Markets

Common border with Bihar is frequently offered as the number one cause for the backwardness of Nepal. But one simple example would reveal that nothing else may be far from the truth. If we accept Bihar as the greatest hindering factor, western Nepal should have been better off than the eastern part as it is the latter that borders Bihar. On deeper analysis we may find that the secret lies in the market. The further we go west, the less do we find the weekly rural markets (called Haats). It is not simply a correlation. We can easily establish a cause and effect relationship between the absence of markets and level of poverty.

Markets encourage the people to produce surplus, thus promoting higher productivity and production. Greater the production, lower the poverty. Markets encourage commercialization of agriculture which leads to the higher production of those commodities that have higher income elasticity.

With the entry into the rule based multilateral trading arrangement of World Trade Organisation (WTO) by acquiring the approval of the Cancun Ministerial in mid-September, Nepal has joined a competitive international environment from which every competitor country is expected to benefit as the classical economist David Ricardo had proved some two hundred years back.

But there are caveats: First, to benefit from such an arrangement the country must concentrate on areas in which it has the comparative advantage. Second, there must not be any infrastructural bottlenecks that may restrict trade. And third, the market within the country and also in the trading partner countries must be perfectly free.

Fulfillment of these preconditions is however very difficult, as the countries that have been WTO members for long have experienced. Even the developed countries who claim to be the apostle of free trade and the true followers of Ricardo have failed to make their respective economies as free as required. The latest example is the Cancun debacle.

But for a small country like Nepal, it is not possible to survive without trade: the big countries like China, India, Russia, USA, Brazil, Indonesia can do well even without indulging in trade with the other countries as they are as big as some trading blocks and the trade between the regions within their respective countries will be enough for their survival as an economy. Small countries like Nepal do not have this advantage. More disadvantaged is Nepal because it is small as well as least developed and thus has very few areas identified as those having comparative cost advantage. This means Nepal should start developing a different group of least developed countries in the WTO as the interests of so-called G-20-plus, which include China, India, Brazil, are divergent to the interests of the small and least developed countries.

Meanwhile we wish you all Happy Dashain Holidays during which we all should think of ways to speed up the development of a countrywide market mechanism and to introduce greater degree of perfection in such mechanism.

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