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Lessons from Malaysia by Madan Lamsal from Kuala Lumpur Till mid-nineties it was Singapore that used to be referred as an ideal case of fast economic development worth emulating for Nepal. Now that island country’s record seems far beyond the reach of Nepal. The comments are frequently heard that it would be more appropriate for Nepal to follow the path chartered by Malaysia, a northern neighbour of Singapore. In their population size (about 23 million), both Nepal and Malaysia are equal, but the equality ends at that. Malaysia was able to reduce poverty incidence from 49.3 percent in 1970 to 8.9 percent in 1995, while in Nepal it still stands at around 40% (see tables in following pages for other comparisons). Interestingly, the Malaysian revival started after a major racial riot in 1969 which led Malaysia to focus its economic policy on “growth with equity”. Nepal too is facing similar situation now as Malaysia faced in 1969. With the hope for a restoration of peace in the near future, the lessons from Malaysia will be indeed relevant for Nepal to formulate its policies in the post-conflict era. Lessons Maintain racial harmony and avoid religious fanaticism: As The Economist magazine once noted: “Nowhere else in the world can you find the dominant ethnic group (Malays, who make up about 53% of the population) living so amicably with such a big and economically powerful minority (Chinese, about 26%, not to mention the Indians, another 8%). In 1998, when the Asian crisis sent Malaysia’s national income crashing by almost 8%, and next door in Indonesia hundreds of Chinese were being lynched by jealous Indonesians, Malaysia’s Chinese went unscathed. “Then there are the women. Many of those who swarm around the shops and eateries wear the tudong, the local version of the chador, tightly framing the face. But the tudong is often accompanied by figure-hugging jeans or T-shirts of which the religiously conservative would surely not approve. Nor is there any attempt to impose the tudong on non-Muslims, be they the local Chinese or foreigners. Pork and alcohol are freely available.” Though some observers fear that in recent times, particularly after the 9/11 and US occupation of Afghanistan and Iraq, this sort of religious harmony might have been endangered, it has so far endured and formed the social basis for the Malaysian economic miracle.
Open up for international trade: Malaysia’s total two-way trade in 1994 was 120% of GNP and is maintained at almost the same level even now. Though Nepal’s present tariff level at around 16% on average matches that of Malaysia in mid-1990s (15%), Malaysia had almost no non-tariff barriers and foreign exchange control. However, Malaysia was open only in goods trade, not on the services till 2001 though the Eighth Plan envisaged opening up the service sectors gradually.
As some analysts have noted, those subsectors of Malaysian economy have grown faster in which the trade barriers are the lowest or non-existent (e.g. electronics which are described as the main engine of growth in Malaysian economy). This can be contrasted with the automotive sector which has been relatively sheltered from foreign competition by way of high tariff barriers and a number of incentives, but which has been unable to record substantial exports.
Have policy flexibility as well as stability: Nepal too may claim having policy flexibility citing the frequent changes in policy. But Malaysia’s policy flexibility has maintained inseparable link with the past while in case of Nepal there have been jerks and jumps. When New Economic Policy (NEP) launched in Malaysia in 1974 expired in 1990, it was replaced by National Development Policy (NDP) as an add on document to the NEP, the objectives of which were not fully achieved in 1990. NDP worked as the framework for the Vision 2020 of the then Malaysian Prime Minister Dr. Mahathir Mohammad. As the new vision required 7% plus growth over the next 25 years, NDP relaxed many of the restrictions that NEP imposed on the economy and encouraged investment. Other significant examples of policy flexibility is provided by the handling of the situation after the worldwide recession in 1981-82 which depressed the prices of Malaysia’s traditional commodity exports, and in mid-1990s when the Asian financial crisis threatened the survival of the economy. After 1981-82 crisis, growth slackened and investment fell. The government thought to stimulate the economy through increased spending on a number of heavy industry and infrastructure projects. Much of such investment was financed through foreign borrowing. The long period of Malaysia’s rapid economic growth was halted abruptly in 1985-86. Per capita GNP fell from US $ 2000 in 1984 to $ 1,600 in 1986.
In response, the government was quick to alter its policies. Public spending and foreign borrowing were cut back. The ambitious growth and spending targets of the Fifth Plan (1986-90) were abandoned and massive privatization campaign was started. Later when the notorious Asian financial crisis threatened massive capital flight, Malaysia under Dr. Mahathir was swift to change the policy and locked in the foreign capital till the crisis was over. For this, Malaysia brushed aside some of the important advices of International Monetary Fund. Though some trade barriers were raised on the wake of the Asian financial crisis, they were temporary. At the same time certain restrictions on foreign direct investment (FDI) were relaxed, again temporarily. More recently, the Labour Minister was quoted saying that if investors find the labour cost in Malaysia expensive they should better search other countries to locate their production facilities. That means, the period when Malaysia was desperate for foreign investment is now about over. Hence the indication of imminent policy change. The Malaysian experience also suggests the importance of policy stability. At the wake of the Asian financial crisis, Malaysia changed the floating exchange rate regime and reverted to fixed exchange rate regime pegging the Malaysian currency Ringgit to US dollar, the US being the largest export market. The exchange rate fixed then is still maintained: 3.8 Ringgits per US dollar. This gave the foreign investors the confidence on the economy, view the analysts. While this can be compared with the fixed exchange rate regime followed by Nepal which keeps the exchange rate of Nepali rupee with the Indian rupee fixed (as India is the largest trading partner of Nepal), it is doubted whether it has helped in gaining confidence of the foreign investors in Nepali economy. Diversify: While Malaysia gained independence in 1957 it was a mainly agriculture based economy dominated by two commodities – rubber and tin. From 1965 to 1984, Malaysia experienced a period of broad diversification and sustained a rapid growth of 7% to 8% with per capita GNP reaching US $ 2000 in 1984. Palm oil, timber, cacao and pepper were added to Malaysia’s export crops. Petroleum sector expanded rapidly after 1980, making the country one of the major exporter of petroleum and liquefied petroleum gas. While this diversification was the result of the opportunities opened up by the developments in the international field (e.g. the sudden increase in oil prices in late 1970s), it was achieved mainly through deliberate policy interventions by the government that carefully identified the prospective sectors and nurtured them to become competitive in the international market. Have political stability: Though everyone in Nepal can be heard harping on this theme, there are very few implementable suggestions for how to go about it. Malaysia established political stability through a meticulously planned and implemented New Economic Policy (NEP) launched in 1974 with the objective of reducing poverty by increasing income levels for all Malaysians and restructuring the Malaysian society in order to erase all racial identification in economic terms. NEP called for financial redistribution from the minority and wealthy of non-Bhumiputra (i.e. non-native Malaysian) racial groups to Bhumiputras. The target was to achieve corporate equity of 30% Bhumiputras, 30% foreigners and 40% other Malaysians. It was planned to be achieved through an expanding economy so that no racial group would have to suffer from economic or social deprivation. Some analysts say that NEP was designed to achieve social rather than economic objectives and it succeeded in that. It helped achieve political stability by avoiding racial turmoil and establishing racial harmony instead. Be selective: One important characteristic of the Malaysian leadership is to be selective. As evidenced by the rejection of IMF’s offer for help during the Asian financial crisis and quota for racial groups in various spheres of the society, Malaysia has tried some new methods to manage its country by selecting policies, generally avoided by the other countries. One is the entrepreneurship ministry. Though it seems like the Ministry of International Trade and Investment (MITI) in Japan, it goes beyond the methods of MITI in developing new entrepreneurs. In most countries, including Nepal, the entrepreneurship development is entrusted to a training institution, with the role of the government ministry limited to budget sanctioning and sending representative at the policymaking body of the institution. Another example of being selective is provided by the policy to invite foreign direct investment in Export Processing Zones (EPZs). While most of the countries do not care that much about the level of investment by a unit in the EPZ, Malaysia followed the policy of providing special incentives for units in EPZ that invest more than US $ 500 million. However, such units are required to export 100% of their produce. Also the practice of handling labour problems is unconventional for a democratic country. The Internal Security Act is so strong that it empowers the government to put behind bars the striking labourers on the charge of disturbing the national security. The result is that the labourers resort to their protest activities only after the working hours in the factories. Invest in social sector: Malaysia's economic miracle is also attributed to combining educational investment with health expenditure and employment creation. Virtually all Malaysian children attend primary school and well over 50% attend secondary school. The educated people, trained in requisite skills of the modern businesses have contributed not only to attract foreign investment but also for overall economic development of the country. Go for regional integration: In order to develop its hinterlands, Malaysia has taken steps to form Growth Triangle with neighbouring countries Thailand and Indonesia so that the adjacent regions of the three countries develop by complementing each other's resources and requirements. For this, the national level rules are modified for these areas that fall under the triangle. Again an example of policy flexibility. Other
Lessons from Asian Financial Crisis It was not only the control on foreign exchange rate that the Malaysian government controlled on the wake of the Asian financial crisis. They also controlled the interest rate. In fact, the fixed exchange rate system made it easier for them to control the interest rate at the level they wanted it to remain. This provided further confidence in the economy. Similarly, they were able to control also the inflation, a feat for which the country’s central bank has been appreciated all along. Malaysia
& Tourism While in Nepal, tourism started on its own and both government and the private sector followed it looking at the opportunities it offered, in Malaysia it was the deliberate policy interventions that created and developed this industry. While, the country has very developed various types of tourism attractions – nature tourism, sports tourism and health tourism – it has also a package for long term stay. It encourages wealthy foreigners to come and stay in Malaysia for five years. One very important step by Malaysian government in tourism development is the tax incentives to encourage domestic tourism. For attracting foreign tourists it is conducting various campaigns in targeted markets. Recently, they have started this campaign also in Nepal. And the packages are as cheap as costing Rs. 50,000. Though critics also said that the construction of the Petronas Twin Towers and similar other expensive constructions as a sign of rivalry with neighbouring country Indonesia and a wastage of money, these same constructions have now become the national symbols and major tourist attractions. |
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