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spotlogo2.jpg (6318 bytes) VOL. 21, NO. 48, JUN 14 - JUN 20, 2002.

INDO-PAK TENSIONS


Internal Impact

The events in the region are bound to deal another blow to Nepal's battered tourism industry

By SANJAYA DHAKAL

Reeling from the accumulated pressure of years of adverse domestic events, Nepal's tourism industry is bracing for the fall-out from heightened regional tensions. The increasing war rhetoric between India and Pakistan has cast a long shadow on the region's prospects of attracting more tourists.

Tourists arriving by air : Diminishing numbers
Tourists arriving by air : Diminishing numbers

With mind-numbing predictions of the scale of human casualties in case of a nuclear war splashed across major newspapers and dominating the electronic media, one can hardly blame visitors for wanting to stay clear of South Asia.

The United States and other western nations have issued travel advisories warning their citizens of the dangers in the region. They have begun preparations for emergency evacuation of their citizens living in this part of the world in case war breaks out.

"These developments, definitely, are not going to help Nepal's tourism sector, which has been going through enough already," said an official at the Nepal Tourism Board (NTB).

The Indian media have reported that Indian travel agents are having to cancel their bookings by at least 30 percent. "The scenes of mass exodus of western nationals from India and Pakistan are going to have a very disturbing effect on Nepal as well because of our proximity to those countries," said an entrepreneur.

Although there has not been any specific study gauging the impact of regional tensions on Nepal's tourism, everybody feels it is significant. "No third country traveler will plan a visit to this region at this juncture. There are lots of alternatives for them," said a travel agent.

According to the latest NTB figures, international visitors arriving in Nepal by air in May 2002 indicate a 35 percent decline over the same month last year. "The pace of decline, however, has softened in the month, reflecting summer arrivals slightly picking up basically from the Indian market segment," states an NTB release.

The total number of Indian visitors in May 2002 was 7,847, representing a decline by 28 percent. The declining trend is quite low compared to previous months. Third country arrivals, too, dipped during May 2002, by 40 percent. The American, European and Japanese markets were down by 49, 43 and 30 percent respectively.

"Improvement in Indian arrivals seems to have been contributed slightly by the launch of the 'Fly-n-Win' scratch scheme (launched by Royal Nepal Airlines Corporation in coordination with NTB from May 1 till the end of July 2002, targeting the Indian market segment). The mild weather of Kathmandu was no less an attraction to relieve Indian visitors from the scorching heat of the Indian metropolis."

Analysts say the stories of successful ascents of Mount Everest and other tall mountains, too, have helped to an extent in reviving the country's image as good tourist destination.

The NTB states that news about Singapore Airlines suspending Kathmandu flights from May 31, 2002, also affected third country arrivals to Nepal during the month. "As the airlines contributes almost three percent in bringing tourists to Nepal and arrival in summer increases even further, the news was already resulting in a series of cancellations."

Meanwhile, Nepal continues to enjoy a considerably good image abroad. Recently, two top British newspapers - The Guardian and The Observer - published survey findings that placed Nepal as the second major tourist destination. The report, which was prepared after questioning 15,000 people from 180 countries, placed New Zealand at the top of the list, with 95.59 percent of respondents favoring it as their first choice destination. Some 94.95 percent of the respondents chose Nepal as their second choice destination.

These facts suggest that once the country sails over the present spate of untoward events, it can easily expect to hog the international tourism limelight.

Tourists Arrival in May 2002

-Australia: down 21 percent (compared to May 2001) to 378 visitors

-UK: down 51percent to 866 visitors

-US: down 49 percent to 1,255 visitors

-Germany: down 28 percent to 634 visitors

-Japan: down 30 percent to 703 visitors

-India: down 28 percent to 7,847 visitors

Source: NTB


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