http://www.nepalnews.com
spotlogo2.jpg (6318 bytes) VOL. 23, NO. 07, AUG 08 -  AUG 14  2003 ( Shrawan 23, 2060 )

COVER STORY


LANDSLIDE AND FLOOD
A Perennial Threat

This yearís torrential monsoon rains have so far taken their toll not only in human lives, but also in infrastructure, by destroying roads, power plants, and agricultural land. The governmentís response continues to be the annual launch of rescue operations and rehabilitation and reconstruction programs. However, once the monsoon season is over, everyone will gradually forget about the potential in Nepal for disaster until the monsoon returns next summer. At intervals of two or three years, Nepal is subjected to violent cloudbursts and consequent heavy damage to public property, but the countryís policy makers and planners do not seem to have learned much from experience. Until the government establishes a reliable system of hazard forecasting and mapping in areas known to be vulnerable, landslides and floods will continue to pose a major threat to this Himalayan Kingdom

By KESHAB POUDEL 

On the dreadful night of July 31, Ram Bahadur Thapa, 56, a resident of Manakamana Village Development Committee, lost his entire family when a landslide swept away his home, his wife and his son and daughter.

Thapa was unconscious when he was rescued and taken to Bir Hospital in critical condition and when he came round early the following Sunday morning, he was shocked and traumatized by the unbelievable news.†Thapa's three relatives were not the only ones who died, however. A major land slide also occurred at wards no 1 and 4 of Mankamana village in the district of Gorkha, 80 kilometers west of Kathmandu, killing 23 people and destroying 10 houses, thus displacing many other villagers.

"Oh God! Why did you save me and take away my whole family?" Thapa wailed.

Landslide and flood : Geologically vulnerable
Landslide and flood : Geologically vulnerable

"Whom do I have to live for now?" he sighed. "It was midnight when I heard a huge noise. I didn't realize that the landslide had claimed three members of my family, my property and everything else. I have nothing left," the traumatized Thapa told SPOTLIGHT in the emergency ward of Bir Hospital.

Thapa, who was lucky to be rescued and treated by the Royal Nepalese Army, was not the only victim of this yearís heavy monsoon rain. The rains on July 30 and 31 also washed away a portion of the Mugling-Narayanghat section of Prithvi Highway and different sections of Tribhuwan-Rajpath highways, two major roads linking the capital with rest of the country.

It also swept away many other bits of infrastructure in Royal Chitwan National Park, 130 kilometers south west of Kathmandu. As a result of the destruction of the highway, the Kathmandu Valley is cut off. The Mugling section is said to be so badly damaged — in as many as fourteen places - that it may take another week to reopen the artery linking the capital with the rest of the country.

According to the Department of Narcotics Control and Disaster Management, 127 people were killed following the onset of the monsoon rains in the second week of June. The department said that 45 people are still reported missing and that 3281 families have been directly affected by land slides and floods. The landslide also killed 168 domestic animals and destroyed 1475 houses in 47 districts in the central, western and mid-western regions.

Vehicle  plying on Prithivi highway : Risky ventures?
Vehicle  plying on Prithivi highway : Risky ventures?

Along with the damage to personal property, the rain has also destroyed roads and power supplies. The flood has badly damaged Nepal's second largest power plant, at Marsyangdi, 115 kilometers west of Kathmandu, on the banks of the Marsyangdi River. The damage to the 72 Megawatt power plant caused disruption to the country's electricity supply.

"Since the landslides have left large amounts of debris on many parts of the road and the culvert has been swept away, it will be impossible to reopen the road for another week. Heavy rain continues to disrupt our clean-up process," the director general of the Department of Roads said.

Disasters of this type are nothing new in this rugged and happy-go-lucky Himalayan Kingdom but it is the governmentís inability to learn from history about how to minimize the damage and prevent the destruction that is becoming the problem.

Every couple of years, the country suffers similar disasters after a cloudburst; but no one seems to have learned lessons from past monsoons. The Department of Road already spends a huge amount of money purely to maintain the road. Had the government managed its budgets correctly, it would have adequate funds with which to build alternative roads into Kathmandu.

Human Factor

As most of the rainís victims are the families of marginalized farmers, it takes years to recover from such disasters. Once the landslides have swept away their dwellings, families have to start from scratch.

Landslide victim Ram Bahadur has to face not only the psychological trauma of the loss of his family but the loss of his livelihood as well. In a country where over fifty per cent of the population live below the poverty line, such tragedy and loss are unbearable.

The government pays the initial medical expenses of the victims and the district administration provides a further Rs.10,000, but this amount of money is not enough to make much of a difference to the victimsí families. However, not everyone is lucky enough even to secure government support and many other villagers who live in more remote areas receive nothing.

Inundation : Who is to blame?
Inundation : Who is to blame?

Besides taking a headcount of victims and compiling a report detailing the loss of property, the government must develop a long term strategy to minimize the effects of such natural disasters.

"Our support is just for temporary rehabilitation. The support given by the District Administrative Office to the victim's family will help to stabilize the situation," said a senior officer at the Home Ministry.

However, the rehabilitation and rescue program should not just be about the collection of data regarding the human loss and the destruction of public property.

Vulnerable Infrastructures

In addition to the devastation inflicted during the Maoist insurgency of the past seven years, the recent flood has put additional pressure on the government, which is financially weak. Although the government is yet to publish the extent of damage wrought by the floods, it is estimated that the country will have to spend a minimum of 150 million rupees to repair the sections of road that have been washed away, so that the highway can be functional once more.

ìWe are not currently in a position to release details regarding the damage. It will take couple of days to evaluate the damage caused by the floods and rains," said a senior official at the Ministry of Works and Physical Planning.

As most of the settlement and encroachment of land occurs on and around the banks of the highway, most of the road infrastructure is permanently vulnerable to destruction and damage. Deforestation on hillsides as well as the construction of settlements and villages on the top of mountains along the highway have increased the likelihood of disasters.

Although the Kathmandu-Mugling and Tribhuwan Rajpath highways are the capitalís lifeline, the government has never made any efforts to prevent or discourage settlement along the side of the road. The impact of heavy vehicles and the tendency of the local population to terrace the land make the highway a weak spot for landslides. But since most of the land encroachment is backed by political parties and local land mafias, no government can make the harsh decision to remove such settlements.

Victims of landslide : Dashed hopes
Victims of landslide : Dashed hopes

"We cleared some settlement areas by the side of the highway during the period of emergency but the people started to encroach on the land again," said a senior official at the Department of Road. "It is impossible to protect the road if the government does not clear the settlement areas on both sides of the highway."

Studies have shown that population pressure continues to rise on either side of the Kathmandu-Mugling highway. "There are small huts and settlements in almost all the parts where the road widens. If the road sides are safe, then people build huts right on top of the mountain," said a senior official at the Department of Road.

The Department of Road has the capability to carry out all types of work but the problem is that it does not receive an adequate budget for the maintenance of roads. "Once the disaster has occurred, the government releases emergency funds and holds discussions regarding the safety of the roads. However, as soon as the last truck has rolled off the highway and the monsoon season comes to an end, we all forget these troubles until next year's rain," an official said.

Regular Phenomenon

Experts argue that violent tectonic movement creates unparalleled geomorphic activity. Landslides, debris torrents and floods are everyday occurrences and result in a very high rate of natural erosion. "The Nepalese have learned to live with a degree of uncertainty that would be impossible for people in other parts of the world. Over time people have developed a certain sense of risk management, in order to survive normal and accelerated geomorphic events," says an expert.

With the increase in deforestation on the hillsides and the clearance of hillside forest for agriculture, even reasonably stable mountain areas face the perennial threat of landslides. The increase in the number of landslides in the hill areas proves the need to protect the forest cover areas in the hills. Since the local people's livelihood depends on the forest and agriculture, it is not easy to make changes.

Drinking water pipes : Suseptible to destruction by landslides
Drinking water pipes : Suseptible to destruction by landslides

Apart from the great disaster of 1993 in which 1336 people lost their lives to water-induced disasters, available records from 1995 to 2000 reveal that on average 250 people have died annually in such disasters. For the most part, damage to infrastructure such as road, irrigation systems and water supply lines is rarely systematically recorded, owing to the lack of studies conducted in the aftermath of the 1993 floods, landslides and debris flows.

The time has now come to think beyond the traditional mindset of rescue and rehabilitation. In the last two decades, the government has spent enormous resources on carrying out rescue and rehabilitation operations but does not seem to have learned much in the process.

Damage to Infrastructure

Every year Nepal loses billions of rupees worth of infrastructure, namely bridges, roads, irrigation canals, drinking water sources and most importantly, valuable agricultural land - complete with crops — belonging to farmers.

The Department of Narcotics Control and Disaster Management has already recorded the loss of property of common people amounting to Rs.60 million (about USD 1 million). "The figures for damage will increase significantly once all the reports from different sectors have been received," said Lekhanath Pokharel, a Department official. "We are collecting the data regarding the loss of infrastructure and property."

Floods and Landslides

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Various water-induced disasters such as debris flow, landslide, floods, gully erosion and so on occur annually in Nepal due to its rugged mountain topography, high intensity monsoon rainfall and the fragile geology of young Himalayan Mountains.

Landslides and floods affect life during the main rainy season or the ësummer monsooní (June to September), which brings around 80 per cent of the total annual rainfall. The remaining rainfall occurs between December and February (5 per cent) and the rest of the year (15 per cent)

Studies have shown that the landslide density in Nepal range from 0.2  landslides per linear kilometer on stable land under calm conditions, to 2.8 landslides per linear kilometer on more vulnerable land that is fully exposed to human influence. Available data indicate that about 12,000 landslides or ëslope failuresí occur each year in Nepal. A large number of landslides and debris flows go unnoticed if they occur in uninhabited areas.

"This year the monsoon came at the normal time during the second week of June and was relatively active throughout the country. The sudden changes and violent cloud appeared at the end of July," said a senior Divisional Meteorology expert at the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology. The level of precipitation and the distribution of rain was higher in the central and other parts of the western region with rainfall recorded as high as 300 mm in some districts."

Normally the monsoon lasts for 106 days in Nepal but sometime it lasts a little longer. According to the meteorologist, there is still the possibility of heavy rainfall in the remaining days of the monsoon. "The monsoon is still active and the rain will still affect the country," said a meteorologist.

Hazard Mapping

With the establishment of the Department of Water-Induced Disaster Prevention (DWIDP), Nepal has taken major steps to identify and analyze the vulnerable places in different parts of the country. Nepal is known for its mountainous areas in which unstable natural environments, steep slopes, weak and fragile geology and heavy monsoon rainfall combine to make the young mountains one of the most hazardous environments in the world.

"Due to its topography and geological characteristics and the torrential rain during the monsoon season the country frequently suffers from different kinds of water-induced disasters like soil erosion, landslides, debris flow, floods, glacial lake outbursts and flooding," said a senior official at the Department. ìThe department initiated the preparation of the Disaster Information System (DIS) to review the disasters occurring every year and to record the damages and other related information."

The National Action Plan on Disaster Management 1996 approved by His Majestyís Government of Nepal contains, among other things, measures related to geological, hydrological and meteorological hazards, assessment programs, training, disaster management information system, national land use and land cover plan.

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The devastating flash floods of July 30 are attributed to the abnormal heavy precipitation. Although cloudburst is a regular monsoon phenomenon in Nepal, the countryís infrastructure and traditional hill settlement are vulnerable to disaster and landslide.

According to experts, rising population pressure, encroachment upon marginal lands for subsistence, farming on high slopes, deforestation, over-grazing and the unsustainable extraction of bio-mass for energy in the rural areas are the factors blamed as the human-induced factors leading to land degradation and natural resources depletion, increasing the risk of disaster.

Other malpractices include the indiscriminate quarrying of stones, the mining of riverbeds for sand, and poor engineering design and alignment of roads. Canals also play a part in the growing occurrence of landslides.

Preventive Methods

With the support of the Japanese International Cooperation Agency (JICA), the DWIDP is implementing the Disaster Mitigation Support  Project. The Department of Narcotics Control and Natural Disaster Management (DNCNDM) has also been working towards the coordination of efforts regarding disaster management.

Whereas the DWIDP is working on assessing risk and vulnerability related to water (scarcity, drought and excess, extreme weather events, and factors induced by global warming),†the DNCDM is involved on the rehabilitation and rescue side.

With the implementation of a Water Resources Strategy and the National Action Plan on Disaster Mitigation, some actions have already been taken to prevent the disasters.

"Floods, landslides, debris flows and snow avalanches are common water-induced disasters in Nepal. The fragile geological structures of the terrain combined with torrential monsoon rains and intense tectonic activity, result in high sedimentation in the rivers," said Damodar Bhattarai, a senior official at the DWIDP. "We have already identified the areas for the prevention of disasters but it is not possible to bring about the change in a matter of months."

With the monsoon season in full swing since June, landslides and floods are here to stay until September, and that means we can expect more households to be washed away, and more human tragedies. The people of Nepal, it seems, have more than their fair share of hostile conditions.


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