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spotlogo2.jpg (6318 bytes) VOL. 23, NO. 13, SEP 19 -  SEP 25  2003 ( Ashwin 02, 2060 )

CHINA’S ECONOMIC PROGRESS


Great Leap Forward

When countries on the south of the Himalayas have been passing through phases of violence, political instability, hostility and chaos, China, Nepal’s neighbor across the mountains has, however, marched ahead in the process of social and economic transformation. With an average annual growth rate of over 10 percent in the last two decades, China has turned itself from an agrarian society to a global economic engine for growth. Despite the outbreak of SARS six months ago, China has recovered from the trauma and is now back to the phenomenal pace of progress. At a time when the economic opportunities are looming at the north of Himalayas, how south Asian countries like Nepal be able to exploit it to the benefit of their people remains to be seen

By KESHAB POUDEL in Beijing, Shanghai and Lhasa 

China? There lies a sleeping giant. Let him sleep. For when he wakes he will move the world. Napoleon

The observation made by Napoleon, a French dictator and warrior, two centuries ago is still as much reality as anytime in history. After the initiation of economic reforms in 1979 under the leadership of Deng Xiaopeng, China has transformed itself into a country of rapid economic growth.

For the Chinese society, which was rocked by a decade long Cultural Revolution, Deng’s call for the economic prosperity injected new hopes. In around last two decades, the China has been transformed into a country of skyscrapers, expressways, cars, mobile phones and all other items of modern consumerism. While hosting the Olympics in 2008, China will further show to the world what it has achieved.

People in Lhasa  : Exploiting devlopment opportunities
People in Lhasa  : Exploiting devlopment opportunities

Whether in the streets of Beijing, Shanghai or Lhasa, one can see social and economic transformation with landscapes sprouting with the westernized and americanized models of infrastructures. Though China is still regarded as a communist society, its social and economic transformations are clearly heading towards liberalism.

One can test a sample of liberalism while visiting Beijing opera, Shanghai and Lhasa -the liberalism not peppered with bouts of anarchy and chaos as we know it, but the liberalism that of disciplined and orderly.

Compared to any South Asian countries, Beijing seems to be more tolerant to western countries and values. Despite differences in many political issues, Chinese society seems to have embraced liberal social values of west.

In the course of two weeks visit, one could hardly see any hostile comment against the western countries. Whether local television stations or newspapers or official level of meeting, one hardly noticed any kind of harsh comments against western countries including the United States. In almost all South Asian capitals, the situation is exactly the opposite. 

Since China’s quest to achieve economic prosperity continues to shift from its early model of concentrating economic development in the coastal cities to taking it to the rural hinterlands, new economic opportunities are coming up in China’s hinterland where the government has invested in infrastructures in a big way. China’s huge investment in infrastructures is one reason for the accelerated growth it is experiencing, say economists.

A street in Beijing : Cosmopolitan city
A street in Beijing : Cosmopolitan city

Go West

China’s recent policy to ‘develop-the-west campaign’ has already started bearing fruits in many western regions including the Tibet Autonomous Region. Under this program, the Chinese are pushing a broad based economic package to cater to its billion-plus population.

The western region includes nine provinces and autonomous regions, i.e., Gansu, Guizhou, Ningxia, Quinghai, Shaanxi, Sichuan, Tibet, Xingjian and Yunnan, in addition to Chongquing Municipality. The area covers two thirds of the China’s territory. The populations in these regions make up about 22.8 percent of the total population of China.

“The emergence of the People’s Republic should spell opportunity – not doom – for Asian economies,” writes Jagdish Bhagawati, a world-renowned university professor at Colombia in New York City in the February issue of Newsweek in 2002.

Under the projects, the central government is spending billions of US dollars in the areas of infrastructures and other major projects in western China. The mobile phones and highway links have already helped to integrate the rural and urban economy. One of the major components of the go west is the Railway linking Qinghai to Lhasa. The one thousand plus kilometer long railway line would boost the economy of the region.

“We want to share our development experiences with other Asian and developing countries. Since the gap is widening between the urban and rural areas, our ongoing tenth plan is focusing to reduce such gap,” said spokesman of National Bureau of Statistics. The per-capita income in the rural areas is about 2000 Yuan (RMB) (US$ 225) whereas the average per capita in urban areas is about 7700 RMB (US$ 650). In 22 years period, China has doubled its average per-capita income.

Following economic reforms in China in 1979, it has sent a new wave of economic opportunities around the world including Nepal. The economic progress in China has shown limited implication in Nepalese economy but it will have definite impacts within a decade.

A mosastery in Lhasa : Cultural symbol
A mosastery in Lhasa : Cultural symbol

In the last two years, Nepal’s export from China and Tibetan Autonomous Region increased by many folds and it seems that Nepal too has opportunity across the Himalayas for export of its products.

“The key clue for the success was that we had managed to establish a good balance between stability, reforms and development. Development is our goal, reform is the means and stability the basis,” said Zhou Wenzhong, vice minister of Ministry of Foreign Affairs, People’s Republic of China. “Though you will find the progress relatively more than there is in other countries, we have different targets for more growth in the next 20 years.”

From new cars and mobile phones, apartments and shopping malls and changing lifestyles, there is a boom in every aspect of Chinese economy. From most updated city of Shanghai to the interior parts of Tibet Autonomous Region, Chinese are basking in the glory of newfound prosperity.

“China is not only what you see in Shanghai, Beijing or other big cities but it also consists of many interior and remote parts which are different in terms of development. We are trying to bridge the gap between these various regions,” said Kong Quan, spokesman and director general, Information Department. “China has friendly and good relations with all south Asian Countries and all of us are struggling to uplift the lives of our citizens. We are in the process of development.”

Vice Minister Zhou : Commitment to friendship
Vice Minister Zhou : Commitment to friendship

Economic Disparities

Along with economic development and prosperity, one can see the level of economic disparities. Whether in Beijing, Shanghai or Lhasa, two classes of people and two classes of market are apparent. Chinese are aware about this new disparity. From high-level policy makers to other officials, they don’t mind speaking about increasing number of population with low income.

“Our aim is to end the disparities existing in society and increase annual income of rural people,” said a Chinese official. “We don’t have to hide anything to you as you can observe what the Chinese society really looks like.”

“Chinese hold the highest number of color television sets, washing machines and other household appliances. Before 1978, people were struggling for food and cloth but China now has surplus of foods and other household appliances,” said a senior official at National Bureau of Statistic. “We will increase average per-capita income to US$ 3000 by 2020. This change will have significant impact in the world economy.” 

China’s per capita average income in the urban areas is estimated to be Yuan (RMB) 7,700 as against average Yuan 2000 in rural areas. As income disparities between rural and urban areas continue to widen, Chinese government is now launching new plans to narrow down the gap.

Although the per-capita income in China doubled in the last two decades, Chinese policymakers seem to be unsatisfied over the achievement. “Of course, we are confounded with a lot of challenges; one of them is our population. China is a country with 1.3 billion people. Population management is a big challenge. Job creation for the citizens is number one priority of our leaders,” said vice minister Zhou.

Lhasa city : Fast track to development
Lhasa city : Fast track to development

China’s cities are flooded with large number of rural migrant. Beijing is undergoing a major construction boom to prepare for Beijing Olympics 2008. Under several mega construction projects, many new expressways and other side roads, stadiums and other infrastructures are sprouting in the cities.

Reconciliation not Confrontation

As China’s economic progress has already generated enormous opportunities in Asian region, Southeast Asian countries are benefiting from expansion of trade and business opportunities in the main land China.

Although the South Asian countries are also closer in terms of geography, they are yet to increase trade volumes with China. The smaller South Asian countries will benefit once the two Asian giants India and China compete for reconciliation not confrontation.

China seems to be stressing on construction and cooperation with its neighbors. Although China shares its border with 15 countries including Russia, it cannot overlook its centuries old connections with South Asia.

“Our policy is a clear one - we want to cultivate good neighborly relations with all our neighbors. As a matter of fact, our relations with our neighbors are best ever. China’s relations with ASEAN countries are fine. We are developing programs, negotiations are being carried out. Our relations with India have improved considerably,” said vice minister Zhou.

Shanghai city : Global economic engine
Shanghai city : Global economic engine

Once the China and India opts for the reconciliation, smaller countries like Nepal in South Asia will immensely benefit. At a time when western countries including the United States are encouraging harmonious policy towards China, there seems to be a very little room for confrontation.

Creating Opportunities

There are special projects underway for the large-scale development of western China. The country has been investing more than US$ 10 billion in building infrastructures and other developmental activities creating opportunities for business.

Present Chinese leaders seem to worry about their country’s rapidly widening gap between rich and poor, between urban and rural areas and the between booming coast and backward hinterland. Although China is regarded as a closed system, its society is open at par with other countries in the world. The numbers of entertainment based Television stations continue to grow and so does the number of private-owned newspapers.

Between 1966 to 1976, the Cultural Revolution began the destruction, razing centuries-old temples and condemning China’s imperial past as feudal and superstitious. Chinese leaders even regretted over the mistakes committed in the past. The new generations of Chinese are now leading as successful entrepreneurs.

An alley in Beijing : Part of old city
An alley in Beijing : Part of old city

From multi-national departmental stores to expressways, highways and high-rise buildings, television, mobile phones and million dollar mansions, the modern China is joining with the world community evolving step by step. Having started from virtually a medieval society in 1978, Chinese have shown effective ways on how social stability as well as economic prosperity can be achieved.

Market Reforms In Socialist Country

Although the country is known as a land of Mao’s revolution, there is hardly any sign of communist rhetoric. Despite being close in its nature, Chinese society enjoys enormous freedom within them. Mao Zedong’s picture hangs at the front gate of Tianmen Square but Mao is respected in China as a founder of new China but not as an ideologue.

It seems that Chinese remembered the contribution of Mao for his role in making new China but not for his ideology. At a time when the Maoist ideology seems to be redundant in his original homeland, south Asian countries are witnessing its strange flourishing.

China is giving up the old Marxist and Maoist model of state control and adhering to the policy of market economy. “Market forces can play very important role to push the economic reforms,” said a spokesman of National Bureau of Statistic. “We are successfully transforming the planning economy to market economy.” Chinese are allowing the market forces in the economic development.

Peasant of Tibet : Adapting modern practices
Peasant of Tibet : Adapting modern practices

Prosperity In China 

From infrastructures to economic prosperity, what China has gained in the last 25 years with annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 12 percent on average. The sleeping giant has witnessed so many phases including chaos and uncertainty to revolution of 1949 under the leadership of Mao and then the infamous period of Cultural Revolution.

Today’s People’s Republic of China is moving from an agrarian to industrialized and consumer-based society with high economic prosperity. However, China has seen the disparities in the distribution of income. From high annual GDP in urban areas to relatively low in the rural areas, there are certain disparities.

The economic progress has also brought with it the social anomalies including the mushrooming of beggars and other population affected by the economic disparities. Since the economic opportunities are more confined to urban areas, migration of rural population seems to be putting pressures on urban infrastructures.

Development In Tibet

Along with the coastal cities like Shanghai, capital city Beijing and Guandong, China is also pushing economic development in the interior parts of China. Under its Go West Policy, China is implementing special economic packages in the development regions including in the Tibetan Autonomous Region (TAR), Nepal’s northern neighbor.

With Hindi songs and films common in Lhasa’s street, Nepal’s princess Bhrikuti still shines as a white star. Tibetan still remembers her contribution worshiping her idols in main monastery in Tibet and Xigatze. Bhrikuti is a forgotten princess in Nepal but she is still highly known in Tibet reminding Nepal’s past.

Arniko highway : Road to Kathmandu
Arniko highway : Road to Kathmandu

Not only the capital city of TAR Lhasa, other major cities like Xigatze is also going through the transformation. Four hundreds kilometers northeast of Kathmandu, Xigatze is developing as another major city of Tibet.

“Xigatze has historical relations with Nepal and our city is a sister city of Banepa Municipality. We are happy to say that trade between Tibetan Autonomous Region and Nepal is increasing,” said vice commissioner of Xigatze Prefecture. “After the completion of Syaphrubeshi Rashuwa road within few years, the trade between the two countries will increase further. After the construction of Zelong port, the trade between Xigazte and Nepal will increase.”

Xigatze Prefecture, shares its entire border with Nepal, lies in the middle of Lhasa and Kathmandu. Since the Arniko highway passes through the Xigatze before reaching to Lhasa, the new infrastructures improvement in the area could benefit Nepal in future.

“Our experiences have shown that domestic peace is very important to overall development of the country. Social unrest during the period of cultural revolution has hurt our development efforts,” said a senior Chinese official.

Unnoticed Development

Although more than three hundred Nepalese traders are still living in Lhasa, some new Nepalese entrepreneurs are also grabbing opportunities in the Tibetan Plateau. Dozens of Nepalese have been working in different hotel industries in Lhasa and Tibetan authorities are eyeing other Nepalese experts in specialized tourism sectors.

“Since Nepal has developed expertise in the tourism sector including in trekking, rafting and hotel management, Tibet wants to share the knowledge,” said Canmugun vice commissioner of Xigatze. “We have five peaks that are over 8,000 meter high, trails for trekking and rivers for rafting.”

As the development in the north of Himalayas is taking fast pace, only a few Nepalese have noticed the economic progress made by Tibet. For the large number of common Nepalese it is very difficult to take a peep at the development and progress being mad in the north of Nepal’s neighborhood since it is virtually impossible to see beyond high mountains.

Known for its hostile terrain and mountains, majority of Nepalese do not know that the prosperity and progress have made their way into Tibet in the form of construction of highways, railways and airports.

Although the countries in the South of Himalayas have many commonalities and the geography and nature is favorable to accelerate the development activities that could turn them prosperous, it seems a far away dream. The fate of Nepal, a small Himalayan country nestled between China and India, seems to have lost amid violence, destruction and devastation.

“We want to see prosperous, independent and sovereign Nepal. As a close neighbor and friend of Nepal, China always supports Nepal’s effort to achieve economic prosperity,” said a senior Chinese official. “ We hope that Nepal will overcome its present crisis.”

With the overthrow of Rana regime and the introduction of new political system, Nepal has spent almost all five decades experimenting with various types of political systems. Interestingly, no political system ever produced the much-needed political stability in the country.

Nepal’s northern neighbor began its development after a long civil war and it has spent most of its time to achieve the economic and social prosperity. Whether under the direct rule of King or democratic political system, Nepal didn’t witness any difference.

“Nepal has a long historical trade relations with Tibetan Autonomous Regions. Lhasa remains a major trading center for Nepalese business community. Nepal must tap the opportunities provided by the development in Tibet,” said Shanker Prasad Pandey, Nepalese Consulate General to Tibetan Autonomous Region of China. “ Since Arniko high way is the only road linking Tibet and Nepal, our business communities must identify areas to increase Nepal’s trade with Tibet.”

“There is immense goodwill among Chinese people regarding Nepal and its citizens. We should tap the goodwill for our own benefit,” said Narendra Raj Pandey, Royal Nepalese Ambassador to China.

The economic development and progress made in north of the Himalayas will bring tremendous benefits for the nations on the south of Himalayas. It requires reconciliation and cooperation between two Asian powers to economically benefit the people of two sides. It is not in the confrontation but in the reconciliation between two major powers that the smaller countries in South Asia would be able to exploit the economic benefit.

From streets of Beijing to Shanghai and Lhasa, one can see how a sleeping giant has woken up and has moved phenomenally towards the path of progress and prosperity.


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