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spotlogo2.jpg (6318 bytes) VOL. 23, NO. 41, APR 30 -  MAY 06  2004 ( BAISHAKH 18, 2061 B.S. )
OPINION

NDF  Meeting And Melamchi Project

By  Dr. AB Thapa 

It  was  reported  in   one  of  the newspapers  published  on  April 19, 2004   that  on  that  very  day  the  Asian   Development  Bank (ADB)  demanded  the  government  to   increase  water  tariff  long  before  the  dream   of  bringing  Melamchi  water  materializes.    Addressing  an  interaction  here , the team  leader of   the  ADB  delegate  Keilchi Tamaki  has  said    that  water  tariff  must  be  increased  from   July  2004.  This  news  does not  come as  a   great  surprise  to  anyone.  It  had been  reported   in  several past issues  of  this  journal  that  the   Melamchi  Project  is  going  to  be  a big   liability  to  the  inhabitants  of  the Kathmandu valley.   It  is  unfortunate  that   nowadays  the  ADB   is  too  keen  on  pressing  hard  on  the   government  to  raise  the  tariff  to  cover   the  growing  expenditures.  As in  earlier  years, the   ADB  is  not  seen  to  be  seriously  concerned   to  check  scrupulously  the  possibility  of   bringing  down  the  costs  of  the  projects   to  be financed  by  them.  Sometimes  back  an   article  was  published  in  this  journal  to   draw  the  attention  of the ADB of  gross  negligence   in  the preparation  of  the  final  plan  of   the  Melamchi  project,  which  could   result   in  steep  hike of  the  water  tariff   The   project  is  surely  going  to  be  an   expensive  white  elephant.  So far,  the  ADB  is   not  seen  to  be  trying  to  conduct investigation   into  this  matter.  Luckily,  it  is not  still too late  to  correct  the  Melamchi  blunder..  It  is   hoped  that  the  forthcoming  NDF  meeting  would   look  into  this  matter  seriously. 

The ADB’s  Past   Role

The  Asian  Development   Bank  had  played  very  important  role  in   the  past  in  Nepal’s  socio-economic  development.    Nepal   had  started  to  receive  generous   financial  assistance    right  after  the   establishment  of  the   ADB  in  late  1960s.   The  ADB  always  tried to  help   Nepal  to   ensure  that  the  projects  financed  by  the   Bank  would  be  in  the  genuine  interest  of   the  people  of  Nepal.  The  Bank  used  its   capable  manpower  to   confirm   that  every   dollar  borrowed  from  the  Bank  would  be   spent  to  yield  maximum  return  to  Nepal.    The  Bank  authorities  always  wholeheartedly   supported   the move  to  enhance  the  effectiveness   of   the  projects  financed   by  them   despite  the  fact  that  such  task  could  be   very  difficult  and  to  a  certain  extent   even  embarrassing  to  the  Bank.  The  perfect   example   to  illustrate   such   policy   of  the  ADB   could  be  the  Kankai   Irrigation  Project  implemented  in  Nepal  with   the  financial  assistance  of  the  Bank  in   1970s.  The  ADB, despite  the fact that it was  already   too  late,  had  agreed  to  approve  Nepal’s   proposal  to  change  completely  the  design  of   the  Kankai  Irrigation  Project  - after the  contractors   had  already  started  the  main  civil  works   construction.  According  to  the  new  design,  the   irrigation  capacity  of  various  structures  and   canals   could  be  further  raised  by  about   60%,  despite  the  fact  that  there  would   not  be  any  increase  in  project   cost.   Such  design  revision  was  highly  embarrassing  to   the  ADB  because  the  feasibility  study  including   the  detailed  design,  tender  document  preparation   works etc.  had  been  done  under  the  direct   supervision  of  the  Bank  at  the  headquarters   by  the  foreign  consultants   far away  from   Nepal  without  the  participation  of  a  single   Nepali  engineer.  Despite  such  uneasiness,  the   ADB  had  endorsed  our  proposal  to  revise   totally  the  design  of  the  Kankai  Irrigation   Project.

Lack  of ADB  Concern  

In  recent years  there  is   a growing  apprehension  that  the  ADB  is  showing   very  little  concern  for  the  viability  of   the  projects  it  is  financing  on  water   resources  sector.  As  a  result,   Nepal’s   power  sector  is  already  in  a  big  crisis.    Among  the  projects  already  financed  by   the  Bank,  the  60 MW Khimti  Hydroelectric  Project   built  by  a  private  developer  under  the   ADB  loan  is  the  best  example  to   illustrate  why the  electricity  tariff  in  Nepal   had  to  skyrocket  in  recent  years.  At   present  the  customers  of  Nepal  Electricity   Authority  are  forced   to  buy  electricity   at  a   price, which is  perhaps  the  highest   in  our  region,  despite  the  fact  that  the   electricity  supply  is  irregular   and  the   voltage  fluctuates  abnormally.

This author had  cautioned,    in  writing,  against  making  a  decision  to   implement  the  Khimti  Hydropower  Project.   It   was  sure  that  such  decision  was  going  to   be  extremely  harmful  to  the  NEA.   I   had  explained  about  it  in  a  report   submitted  in  early 1990s  entitled “ENDING  THE   PRESENT  POWER  SHORTAGE  CRISIS:  Presentation of  an   option to  resolve  quickly the  present  power  crisis   at  a  cost  perhaps  ten  times  cheaper”.    The  findings  of  that  report have  been   published  in  some  of  the  newspapers and   journals..  The  report  can  be  still  traced   in  the  WECS  library.  Unfortunately,  nobody  was   concerned  about  the  terrible  consequences  for   the  future  of  the  Nepal  Electricity  Authority.   The  ADB  without  any  hesitation  ( though  the World  Bank  is  said  to  have declined) sanctioned  the   loan  to  private  developer  to  implement  the   Khimti   Project.  The  extremely  harmful  decision   of  the  ADB to  provide  loan  to  implement   the  Khimti  Project  opened  floodgates  to   implement   many  more  similar  hydropower   projects.   Private  hydropower  developers   were   eager  to  grab  this  opportunity  to  quickly   enrich   themselves  by   selling  the   disproportionately   large    seasonal  energy    that  is  going  to  be  totally  wasted   at  the  price of firm energy.

Unfortunately,  the  Melamchi   Project   could   be  the  next   casualty   of   the  Bank’s  feeble   supervision.   People  want  to  know  why  the Yangri  and   Larke  rivers  specially  reserved  for  augmenting   the Melamchi  flow  to  meet  the growing  demand   for  water  supply  in  Kathmandu  valley onward   2011  had  to  be  leased  out  to  private   developers  to   build  hydropower  projects.

Why Yangri and Larke  Were   Leased  Out?

The  UNDP  supported    feasibility  study  report  of  the  Melamchi   Project  explains  that  around  the  time of  2011   the  total  system  demand   for  water  supply ( in Kathmandu  valley)  is  expected  to  reach  the   total  supply  from  in-valley  surface  sources  and   Melamchi.  Thereafter,   the  next  stage  of   the  development  of  Melamchi  will  be  required.   This  entails  diversion  from  the  YANGRI  and   LARKE  rivers  that  flow  to  the  east  of   the  Melamchi.  Water  would  be  diverted  by   tunnels   to  a  point  upstream  of  the   Melamchi  intake.  The  total  length  of   the   delivery  tunnels  is  expected  to  be  over   12 kilometers.  The  Larke  and  the  Yangri  are   the  main  tributaries  of  the  Indrawati  River.   After  the  diversion  of  the  Yangri  and   Larke  rivers  into  the  Melamchi    there   would  hardly   be  any  flow  in  the   upper  reach  of  the  Indrawati  River  during   the dry  season.

It   confuses  a   common   man   why  it  was  very  recently   allowed  to  lease  out  the  Indrawati   River   to   private  developers  to  build   a    cascade  of  hydropower  projects   in  all   probability  with  the   tacit  consent  of  the   Asian  Development  Bank.  One  hydropower  project   is   going  to  be  completed  very   soon    and   others  are  at  the  planning   stage.  Concerned  agencies   at   the  policy   making  level   in  the  government  and  the   Asian  Development  Bank  deeply  involved  in  Nepal’s   power  sector  should   be  able  to  explain     the  rationale   behind   the  decision    to  lease   the  Indrawati  River  to   private  developers  to  build  a  cascade   of    hydropower  projects.   Couldn’t   we   have found  some  other  suitable   rivers  any   where  in  Nepal  to  be  leased  out to   private   hydropower  developers?

Why  Hydropower   Component  was  Dropped?

There  exists  a  big    potential   to   generate   cheap   electricity   by  using  the  diverted  flow  of    the  Melamchi   River   The  elevation  of   the  Melamchi   intake  weir  is  1715 m and   the  inlet   to  the  treatment  works  near   Sundarijal   is  1409 m.  Thus  there  is  an    enormously   big  gross  head  of  306 m.   The  UNDP  report  has  clearly  stated  that   the  net  increment  in   investment  ( the   cost of  the  powerhouse   located  near  Sundarijal   with  electromechanical  equipment)  needed  to  implement   the  hydropower  element  is  relatively  small  as   the  intake  headrace  tunnel  and  penstock  are   already  in  place  for  conveying  water  to   the  treatment  works. According  to  the  feasibility   report of the Arun-3  Project, operating  at   a  head   of  about  300 meters ( same  as  the  Melamchi   Hydropower )  the  cost  of  electromechanical  equipments   and  power station  civil  works  is  only  about   30%  of   the  total  project  cost.  The   UNDP  study  has  concluded  that  it  would  be   worth  constructing  the  hydropower and   it  could   contribute  to  reducing  the  cost  of  drinking   water  to  Kathmandu.     The  UNDP  report   explains  that  even   before  the  diversion   of   the  Yangri  and  Larke  rivers  the   total  annual  generation  of  the  Melamchi    hydropower  would  be  60 GWh  and  out  of   it  the  firm  power  generation  would  be   40.5 GWh.   The  Melamchi  hydroelectricity    generation  would  have  been  close  to  50%   of  the  annual   generation   of   the   Kulekhani  No.1  hydropower  project.  After  the   diversion  of  the  Yangri  and  Larke  the    electricity  generation  of  the   Melamchi   hydropower  plant  would  be  further  increased.       It  is surprising  to  learn    that   the  Melamchi  hydropower  component   has  been  dropped.     The  Asian   Development  Bank  should   seriously  look  into   this  matter   to  find  out   why    the  power  component  of  the  Melamchi   project  was   allowed  to  be   dropped   despite  the  fact  that   the  UNDP  report   has  concluded   that  the  power  station   would  be  worth  constructing   and  could   make  a  contribution  to  reducing  the  cost   of  drinking  water  to  Kathmandu  residents.  It   is  still  not  too late  to  reintroduce  the   hydropower  component  if    there is  not   strong   justification  for  the  hydropower   component   to  be  dropped.

A New Vision of  the   Melamchi Development

Water  and  Energy   Commission  of HMG  has  put  forward  a  new   vision  of  the  Melamchi  development.  It  would   allow  delivering  Melamchi  water  free  to  the   inhabitants  of  the  Kathmandu  valley.  The  Yangri   and  Larke  diversion  problem  would  also  be   automatically  resolved.  Apart  from  the  reintroduction   of  hydropower  component,  no  big  change  of   the  original  design  of  the  Melamchi  project   would  be  required  at  this  stage. 

The way the Melamchi project has been planned clearly  shows  that the planners of this project  were   unfamiliar with the water resources potential of the Melamchi  River. A Melamchi project conceived primarily as a power project linked with the existing Kulekhani hydropower - acutely suffering from water shortages - and  also  with  the   Langtang  projects could provide Kathmandu people with water  almost for free. A Melamchi project exclusively for water supply is obviously very expensive. The project involves the construction of a 28 km long delivery tunnel. Thus, the   Melamchi  tunnel  is,   too,  long.  Apart  from it, the tunnel size adopted based on the construction requirement is also very big for a scanty dry season flow of only about 1.5 cu. m/sec. The proposed tunnel could be used as a transit route for   the  passage of surplus Melamchi  and   Langtang  waters  into the Kulekhani storage reservoir  acutely suffering from water shortage.

After  the  Langtang   diversion  the Melamchi  tunnel  could  be  expected   to  run  in    full  capacity  of  about   15  cumecs  throughout  the  year. It  would  permit   a   35 MW  Melamchi  tunnel  hydropower  operating   at  a head  of  about  300 meters  to  generate   annually  up  to   300 GWh  firm   electric   energy, which  would   be  50%  more  than  the   electricity  generation  of  both   Kulekhani  No-1   and   No-2   hydropower stations  put  together.   After  the  diversion  of  the  Langtang  into   the  Melamchi,  it  would  not  be  necessary   for  augmenting  the  dry  season  flow  of  the   Melamchi  to  divert  the  Yangri  and  Larke   rivers  which  have  already  been  leased   out   to  private  developers  for  the  generation  of   electricity.  It  would  also  be  possible  to   set  aside a  large  proportion  of  the   dry   season  flow  of  the  Melamchi  river  for  the   use  of  the  local  people.  As  a  result,   the future  supply   of   Melamchi  water  to    the  local  inhabitants  would  not  have  to   be  unduly  restricted.

Opportunity To  Get Melamchi Water For Free

At  present,  the  Nepal   Electricity  Authority  is  also  interested  to   divert  the  Langtang  water  for  the  generation   of   electricity.  Unfortunately, they  are  conducting   a  study  to  discharge  the  Langtang  flow   after  power  generation  into  the  Trisuli  River, despite  the  fact  that  the   cost  and  benefit    to  NEA from  such  diversion  into  the   Melamchi  would  also  have  been   very  much   the  same.  However, neither the NEA nor the Water Supply Agency has any appetite to work together.    It is hoped that the forthcoming NDF meeting would recommend the Asian Development Bank, involved in coordination of the Melamchi Project to ensure that this project would not be implemented in a way detrimental to the true interest of the residents of the Kathmandu valley.  We  do  hope   that  the  residents  of  the  Kathmandu  valley   would  not  be  denied  the  opportunity  to   get  almost  for  free  the  Melamchi  and    Langtang  waters.  

(Dr. Thapa writes on water resources)


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