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-Prof.
Dr. Prof.Dr Mahendra Singh, T.U, Kirtipur
He hails from the Terai plains. He is a thorough gentleman. His friends see in him a qualified economist. He has been in the teaching profession since several decades. His students could be found scattered in many places occupying high chairs at various prestigious national and international institutions. He did his doctoral degree in the discipline of Economics from Patna University, India. Currently he is the Assistant Dean at the Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur. He teaches at the Central Department of Economics, Kirtipur. His specialization is Monetary and Development. Professor Dr. Mahendra Singh is a member of the T.U Council; has served as Campus Chief at the R.R. Campus, Janakpur Dham from 1995-98; as proctor T.U and is acclaimed as a successful administrator and as a senior economist having profound knowledge and possessing pragmatic vision as well. Professor Singh has several books to his credit on Economics, Statistics and Mathematics. His research papers have duly been published in several national and international newspapers. He has written well above hundred feature articles in local dailies and weeklies. He was the member of a Nepalese delegation that attended the UNGA in 1984. At the moment, he is also heading the Rajarshi Janak Research Foundation for Development-the RAJANFORD. He also acts like a guide for Post-graduate and Ph.D. students. In the process of learning, Professor Singh has already visited the United Kingdom; United States of America, France and Switzerland. He has links with different research centers in the region and beyond. He is decorated with Gorkha Dakshin Bahu III, Dirgha Seva Padak T.U and various others. Dr. Singh respects and honors the internationally acclaimed economist, Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen. Last week the Telegraph approached Dr. Singh for an exclusive interview. The 'friendly' Professor readily agreed to my request. The results below: Chief editor. TGQ1: How do you characterize the status of Nepal's economic development in general and economic growth in particular? What are the fundamental causes that impeded the take-off of Nepal's economy? Prof.
Singh: After more than four decades of development efforts through
planning, instead of talking about the promises of 21st century you are
asking about the performance of Nepalese economy. Answer lies itself in your
question. Over the last 40 years, Nepal's development has shown both
positive and negative trends. Agriculture now contributes only 42% of GDP,
formerly its contribution was more than 70%. Some scholars consider it as
modernization of the economy. Industrial sector contribution is about 10% in
the national output. The contribution of service sector is encouraging. It
is nearly 40%of GDP. Supply of electricity has increased and reached 13% of
the total population. 12,000 kilometers of roads are giving services to the
people round the year. 88% of the total children have now access to primary
schools. Print media and electronic media are fast expanding. Kathmandu and
other urban centers are now connected to e-mail and Internet. However, the
balance sheet of the other side of the coin is a matter of great concern.
Nepal is still ranked one of the poorest in the world. 42 % of the total
population remain below the poverty line. They are economically handicapped
and socially deprived. Some times we hear the news of suicide and deaths
from starvation. It is most shocking. Annual growth rate of GDP is around
3%, it is declining. Even, we have negative growth in agriculture sector.
Once regarded as a monarch of the Nepalese economy, Agriculture sector has
now been relegated to the position of sunset sector. As a result, we are now
importers of food grains. Even, unemployment is growing and is high. About
34.9% of the literate population are unemployed , price level is going
rapidly out of control. According to one study, price level is increasing at
the rate of 50% during current fiscal year. Revenue performance is stagnant.
Fiscal deficit is around 6% of GDP. Structure of export is fragile. Nepal's
export now mainly depends on two items of carpet and readymade garments.
Their future is quite uncertain. Debt burden is swelling. About 1/3 of the
external borrowing is used to pay previous loans. Concerns are being raised
that the country faces situation of catastrophic dimension. So
far as the second part of your question is concerned, take off is the period
in which growth becomes normal condition of the society. But in Nepal, the
growth rate has remained low through out our development experience. Growth
rate has never crossed the benchmark of 5%, it has now come down to low rate
of around 3%. The main cause is the negative growth in agricultural output,
disappointing performance of industrial sector and fragility of the service
sector and institutional framework, which can give take-off a going
character are also very weak, corrupt and inefficient. There must be high
saving for rejuvenating the Nepalese economy. They should be properly
exploited and managed to bring about socio-economic improvement to any
extent. Briefly for economic sovereignty and interdependence to go together
let me quote what Prof. Amartya Sen has stated. "Globalization is an
irresistible that has within it the potential for great good as well as
harm. To be among its beneficiaries a country has to invest heavily in
social capital for without such investment it would not create the skilled
educated work force needed by the technology driven world. TGQ.2 Many believe that Nepal's development policies- from environment, NGOs to macroeconomics have been formulated by the donors with parliament watching hopelessly unable to confront it. How can we make our policies contextual to national needs and priorities and liberate our MPs and policy experts from being captive of outside guidance and strategies. What is your opinion about it? And how can Nepal recapture its economic sovereignty in an interdependent world and make it embed to social priorities of the people rather than making perpetual adjustment to individual hand of the market? Prof.
Singh: Experiences and skills of donors and INGOs used in the
formulation of our development policies shouldn't be considered harmful. My
difference is with submission. We should welcome new ideas and influences
but without losing what we value and what we have to preserve-our
sovereignty and integrity. With
regard to the recapturing of the economic sovereignty, we know the fact that
Nepal has rich bio-diversity. The country is endowed with scenic cultural
heritage. We have some of the world's most famous peaks, we have beautiful
valley like Kathmandu and Pokhara. In terms of farm, fertility, forest and
water resources, the Terai is the most potential region. All of these
factors offer tremendous scope for rejuvenating the economy. TGQ.3 Poverty and liberty are hostile enemies to each other. Given the majority of people living below poverty line and unable to exercise their sovereign choice, how can we be able to liberate our democracy from those who are making majority of the people poor, marginalized and deprived and, consequently, make the poor participant in the governance and development of the nation to which they are yet denied? Prof.
Singh: Democracy without economic liberty is meaningless and economic
liberty without democracy is fruitless. Unfortunately in our country we are
being deprived of both by paranoiac leaders of political parties and
mediocre bureaucrats. If democracy has to be made functional, there should
be a high level of awareness in the people. We have to find the way of
making development succeed through injecting ethics in the economy. TGQ.4
One of the watchwords of development strategy today is that people should
have the "ownership" over the program and policies made for them.
At the local level, there are four parallel efforts running in the
development field, for example, NC government implementing "BP with the
Poor" program with its party cadre, UNDP is executing PDDP, elected VDC,
DDC and municipality authorities where UML and ML parties have majority have
their own exclusive agenda and INGOs and NGOs are running their own vision
and programs. Does not this condition polarize development on fractional
partisan lines and make the whole efforts unsustainable? What is your
reaction? Prof. Singh: Here I agree with most of the scholars that 'Development' should be by the people not for or with the people. People may be poor and powerless but they are very wise as far as their common interest is concerned. State-led or market-led policies are not very much sensitive to the poor people. VDC, DDC, INGO and NGOs as explored by Prof. Amartya Sen, are the third way between the state and the market, which can uplift the life of the poor. They have indispensable role to play along with the market and the state. Of course, we must define ourselves how these organizations can operate to support our development policies. No comment on newly declared program 'B.P with the poor', I am waiting how it is implemented. Till then just wait Mr.Upadhyaya. TGQ.5
How do you anticipate the future of Nepal's development? What
strategies, for example, do you suggest? Prof. Singh: On the basis of our past record in the area of development, I expect the continuation of conditions, which will push the economy from bad to worse. Economic hardship of the people in general and of the middle class in particular will aggravate beyond endurance. Survival and security would be the main agenda of the people in the period ahead. As to the issue of what is to be done? I remember the famous maxim of John Robinson "Economic solution are political questions". Firstly, politicians should know that democracy is not only an asset for them but also for the people. Anti corruption Act must be enacted and implemented effectively to avoid inevitable chaos in the country. Secondly, Multiparty system has been restored. This time it has come to stay and it must stay in the plural society like ours. But the management of democracy by political parties during the past ten years has started breeding contempt and frustration against the system itself. I know that political parties dominate politics and decision making in a democracy. However, there should be a room for King also in the overall balance for power, as a guide to good governance. Thirdly, an overhaul of the total development policies appears to be pre-requisite to gain progress and prosperity at fast rate. In this context, I suggest a 'Conference on Future of Nepalese Economy'. Such a meeting may be very useful in bringing about short-term and long-term solutions to the problems faced by Nepal. I am aware, however, many meetings and seminars have been held but in terms of achievement we have to admit that progress has been utterly lacking. Therefore, the proposed seminar should be broad based. Major participants should be high officials from international institutions, INGOs, NGOs, DDC, VDC farmers, influential officials members of different ethnic and regional areas along with political leaders of existing political parties, planners, intellectuals and members of business and banking areas plus from the media. Time has come when a new approach and fresh imagination are required for the future development of the country. Only it can lead us to the eventual solutions. |
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